Bio-terror

From: Subject: Bio-terror Date: Sat, 6 Feb 2010 10:19:57 -0800 MIME-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: multipart/related; type="text/html"; boundary="----=_NextPart_000_0000_01CAA715.EE77C960" X-MimeOLE: Produced By Microsoft MimeOLE V6.00.2900.5579 This is a multi-part message in MIME format. ------=_NextPart_000_0000_01CAA715.EE77C960 Content-Type: text/html; charset="Windows-1252" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable Content-Location: file://F:\Lanset_Website_18Jan10\Articles\Nov comment.htm Bio-terror

BIO-TERRORISM:=20

You=20 ain't seen nothin' = yet!

3D"biohazard As seen by the=20 recent rash of Anthrax letter mailings, either someone has been paying = careful=20 attention to the media...or the author of LIVING TERRORS: What America Needs to Know to = Survive the=20 Coming Bioterrorist Catastrophe is=20 prescient beyond belief.

In his book of the above = title,=20 released in 2000, author Michael T. Osterholm, PhD, MPH, presents his = concerns=20 over the use of bioagents as terrorist weapons. Until recently, the = threat of=20 terrorist use of bioagents has been conveniently lumped together with = chemical=20 and nuclear weapons under that tired catch-all buzz-phrase, "weapons of = mass=20 destruction". Osterholm, among his other objectives, strives to have us = consider=20 bioagents as a far more sinister and immensely more formidable threat = that=20 deserves discrete star billing, separate from chemical agent = hazards; in=20 my opinion, he succeeds. [The salient point emerges that although most=20 politicians simply love using the "weapons of mass=20 destruction" descriptor, this has become one of the most tediously=20 overworked phrases in the basic primer of 'A Child's Garden of = Political Phrases'--thereby blunting, if not completely destroying = any=20 possible inherent usefulness of the term to stimulate our continued = awareness=20 and/or concern.]

In this interesting book, = Dr.=20 Osterholm, an eminent epidemiologist who has all the right credentials = auguring=20 credibility up the ying-yang, investigates and exposes the = frightening=20 vulnerability of the United States to an attack by terrorists using = bio-weapons.=20 Among the 'table-top' scenarios Osterholm describes is the efficacy of a = mock-Anthrax attack carried out in 1999, which bears a rather striking=20 resemblance to the recent mailing of Anthrax spores to prominent public=20 figures.

While several of the = things Osterholm=20 stated in the initial chapters of his book struck me as somewhat = irritating and=20 gratuitously dismissive of certain genuinely legitimate social=20 criticisms, it is hard to ignore the fact that much of what Osterholm = has=20 described in terms of an attack with bioagents--and the immediate = effects of=20 such an incident--has already occurred. Keep in mind that this book was = written=20 in 1999--long before the September 11th terrorist events, and = certainly=20 well before the Anthrax Letters event of recent months took=20 place.

Dr. Osterhom's central = thesis is that=20 Hemorrhagic = Smallpox (Variola Haemorhagica) is the = bioagent we=20 should fear most, due to the fact that it is extremely contagious and = very=20 difficult to contain (due to secondary considerations introduced = by the=20 presence of this disease, such as widespread panic, free-floating = anxiety, and=20 other psychological effects). In the course of his observations, = Osterholm=20 presents some very sobering possibilities and dissects some important, = but=20 little known facts: principally, that due to a number of critical = considerations=20 that range from factional politics to the present status-quo of = (mis)managed=20 health care, if smallpox were ever used as a weapon in a = concerted=20 attack by a lone terrorist (or terrorist group), the resultant = disruption of=20 American society (& economy) would be nothing short of a protracted = and=20 highly disruptive nightmare of unimaginable proportions. Other facts = reiterated=20 by Dr. Osterholm are that although smallpox was ostensibly eliminated in = the=20 1970s, the virus was preserved in a number of places around the world = and is=20 probably today in the hands of such nations as Iraq, Somalia, = Iran,=20 Russia, and a number of others (in addition to the United States). = Vaccinations=20 against smallpox in this country ceased in the 70s, of course, and there = are=20 very few stocks of 'reliable' (unspoiled) batches of vaccine (against = the strain=20 active 35 years ago) left in storage today. Further, any weaponised = strains=20 likely to be used now may have been genetically altered so as to render = them far=20 more fearsome and resistant to any of the remaining decades-old stocks = of=20 vaccine that are still in storage.

Perhaps most sobering is = Osterholm's=20 observation that the US Government is virtually completely unprepared = for a=20 bioemergency of this scale and magnitude, despite the almost daily media = stock-footage showing HAZMAT teams suited up for practice on chemical = hazard=20 emergency exercises that news programs dutifully trot out for the 5PM = evening=20 news. His reasoning is compelling, and it is made more so by awareness = that due=20 to political infighting and factionalism, continuing irresolvable = discussions=20 over a range of topics ranging from jurisdictional arguments to funding=20 arrangements have made it impossible for any overall, comprehensively=20 satisfactory national or local policy to emerge for coverage of such a=20 crisis.

All of this is knowledge = that our=20 government would prefer the public to not have, if for no other reason = than to=20 reduce pressure on elected politicians and officials to come together in = consensus and DO SOMETHING, but also due to the fact even if = some sort=20 of cogent national or local approach to this problem were successfully=20 formulated and instituted today, the result of a well-planned = bioterrorist=20 attack of this sort would still be = catastrophic.

Many of the things = predicted by=20 Osterholm in his 1999 book have already come into being, in the wake of = both the=20 September 11, 2001 attacks and the Anthrax letters, of course. Further, = when the=20 book was written, William Clinton (and his more liberal constituency) = was still=20 President of the United States. Osterholm makes warning mention of the=20 possibilities of civil liberties being radically swept aside in any = possible=20 response to his projected scenario, within the context of the Clinton=20 administration; however, now that (in my opinion) certain political = 'loose guns'=20 (Richard Cheney, Donald Rumsfeld, and a host of other right-of-center = Bush=20 appointees) have gained ascendancy in the 'Dubya' Bush administration, = this=20 broad dismissal of American civil liberties is certain to gain even = greater=20 momentum than Osterfeld himself had anticipated. Even the = precedent-setting=20 constraints of the Posse Comitatus Act of 1878 stand to become=20 considerably diminished in effect, after state-of-the-art legal attacks = on its=20 limiting powers may be mounted by the present=20 administration.

Osterholm, in his = analysis, posited=20 that although we stand to most fear the use of smallpox as the ultimate = and=20 catastrophically devastating bioagent weapon, its very virulent nature = makes it=20 somewhat less amenable to terrorist use than Anthrax (which poses = somewhat less=20 danger to its formulators & disseminators). Anthrax, the = weaponization of=20 which is far easier to effect than we would be led to believe by = official policy=20 statements on its potential as a weapon by terrorists, has already now = been=20 introduced through the mailing of inhalable (1 to 3 microns in size) = Anthrax=20 spore contaminated letters to various congressmen. So much for = the=20 comforting damage-control PR reassurances that this event produced! We = have now=20 further witnessed the massively disruptive economic and political chaos = that=20 even such a small-scale, strictly amateur bioattack as this has = provoked, let=20 alone the widespread anxiety and fear byproducts that are more often the = greater=20 and more formidable consequences of a well planned and effectively = carried out=20 act of this kind.

A similar terrorist = attack, this time=20 using the justly feared Variola=20 Haemorhagica virus in a = carefully=20 planned and carried out action by a single antisocial savant = would=20 produce consequences far more deadly and infinitely more disruptive than = the=20 relatively 'minor' shock effects produced by the recent Anthrax Letters. = Unfortunately, Osterholm presents several possible scenarios in his book = which=20 any modestly talented, but severely disgruntled graduate lab technician = could=20 carry out in a manner in which detection would be almost impossible; = with the=20 so-called "copy-cat" effect (produced by widespread television news = media=20 coverage) being a well known and established force in motivating =20 individuals with deficit social consciousness to carry out similar acts = of=20 'retribution', this is a further and greatly upsetting factor for = further=20 consideration.

Several other things = Osterholm=20 mentions in his book certainly ring true with the peculiar clarity of a = church=20 bell struck in cold weather. In the chapter titled 'Mitigated Disaster', = Osterholm presents a list of what he calls his Eight Point Plan for=20 Change. These include 1) "Stop talking about 'weapons of mass=20 destruction'"--an argument that bioterrorist weapons belong in a = critical=20 category all by themselves, discrete from WMD; 2) "Build the = stockpile"--an=20 exhortation to produce and build up a stockpile of antibiotics = sufficient to=20 address something as predictable as a deliberately engineered smallpox = epidemic=20 (should it occur); 3) "Build up more 'surge capacity'"--an appeal to = restructure=20 health care institutions so as to allow more immediate, efficacious = response to=20 an emergency of this nature by existing healthcare systems; 4) "Shore up = the=20 public health infrastructure so as to allow a quicker response for=20 outbreaks"--advocating a revitalisation of our presently lamentable = &=20 grossly inadequate public health resources; 5) "Clear up the roles of = Federal,=20 State, and Local Government"--i.e. clearly define and functionally = delineate=20 responsibility for a pandemic bioemergency response; 6) "Clean up the=20 coverage"--the need to redirect public media's attention back from its = present=20 commercially driven and vapid infotainment focus; 7) "We'll = understand=20 it if we actually practice"--or 'let's stop the horse and pony = HAZMAT drills=20 and prepare for the purely bioagent threat that is most to be = feared'; and=20 8) "We are on our own, together"--a reminder that all of us need to = reinvest=20 ourselves with personal responsibility for seeing to it that our elected = officials undertake the best possible recourse to address these very = real=20 concerns.

Although the above 8 = points could be=20 summarised into the single phrase "Wise preparation is the best = preventative",=20 and aside from the fact that each of these recommendations is = exceptionally=20 salient, it is point number 6 that strikes a particularly = resonant chord=20 in my own awareness: Clean up the media! Osterholm makes a = cogent=20 observation in being critical of today's 'cheap-thrills' media coverage = tactics=20 that effectively mix a well tested formula comprised of=20 perfectly-coifed news anchors giving news viewers just enough = of the=20 gory details to satiate their perceived need for vicarious thrills and = chills.=20 He points out the fact that the role of the press as (originally) = envisioned by=20 the framers of the American constitution was to keep lawmakers, = agencies, and=20 elected officials focused on the problems at hand and to keep them=20 honest...and not to provide cheap gratification in the form = of=20 sexual innuendo, violent titillations, or coercive commercial = brainwashing=20 intended to sell material goods, which is the present focus of media=20 broadcasting. Regrettably, since the press are today as much under the = hypnotic=20 sway of their powerful commercial benefactors as they used to be under = the=20 traditional ethical impetus of higher moral concerns, what we end up = with on=20 television is simply the aforementioned 'cheap thrills'. This results in = grossly=20 unnecessary hype, excesses of emotional exploitation, and unconscionable = manipulations of that two-thirds of our society who lack even the=20 barest vestige of critically reflective intelligence. Osterholm = ends=20 this particular indictment of our modern journalistic media by = summarizing=20 thusly: "...journalism, at its best, does serve the public=20 interest..." (but perhaps this message is too subtle to register on = most=20 people).

In the second chapter of = LIVING=20 TERRORS, Osterholm dedicates no small amount of thoughtful = reflection to=20 the subject of what exactly modern 'terrorism' has morphed into, in the = 21st=20 century. While he successfully addresses the issue of who these=20 individuals who would create terror in our midst are, he nearly manages = at the=20 same time to effectively dismiss all who strongly feel that our modern = American=20 society is critically defective and dysfunctional as being somehow=20 pathologically aberrant. Among his examination of modern = terrorist=20 profiles, he references in his 2nd chapter (dedicated to an analysis of = who the=20 modern terrorist actually is) the person he terms the Lone = Wolf, or the=20 single, unassociated instigator of such a wave of bioterrorism as is = described=20 in his book.

Osterholm portrays a = profile of a=20 talented but grossly overlooked and grievously under-recognized = biolab=20 savant, obscurely hidden somewhere within the depths of American = society,=20 who has finally crossed over that fine mental line wherein all means are = justified by the end. In this passage he references such solitary and=20 individually acting terrorists as Dr. Theodore Kaczynski, Timothy = McVeigh,=20 Buford Furrow. etc. Of interest is the fact that he recognizes that = while=20 Kaczynski and Furrow gave sufficient evidence of mental illness, others = (such as=20 McVeigh) did not and appeared to act purely out of what he calls = "clear-headed"=20 systems of personal belief. This is an important distinction, I feel, = for it=20 allows for the possibility that there are those who may = legitimately feel=20 that the modern America's irresistible mix of materialism and highly=20 technologised corporate style capitalism is leading the rest of the = world down=20 the path of ultimate destructive (of both human spiritual needs and=20 environmental resources). It further offers the hypothecation that some=20 individuals may be so concerned about these (truly) alarming aspects of = American=20 capitalism that they are actively determined to bring the process to a = halt=20 by any means within their grasp...even if this mandates the = death of=20 many, many innocent people. And THAT is truly something to think = about and=20 take seriously.

While I personally have = never=20 advocated the overthrow of any government, least of all my own, = this=20 does not make me blind to the many dangerously predative effects of the = US=20 economy felt by other nations of the world, nor does it make me any less = determined that these outrageously excesses of global exploitation = (carried out=20 under the glamorous and innocently altruistic-sounding buzz-phrase, = 'world-wide=20 free enterprise') be reined in before we Americans succeed in ruining = our (use=20 of the word our in this context is surely irony of the finest = sort)=20 planet entirely. While I have myself never crossed that fine dividing = line=20 between 'maintaining philosophic belief' and 'revolutionary commitment = to=20 action', it makes me more prone to at least approach an = understanding=20 of the motivations of someone who may personally feel that society has = turned=20 its back in some egregious manner or another (thereby 'warranting' such = a dire=20 and catastrophic response as an individual act of bioterror=20 constitutes).

Seen within the context of = Osterholm's=20 observations, the theory that the recent Anthrax Letters incident is = purely the=20 act of one of these solitary instigators gains more and more = credibility; so=20 much so, that it is even possible that the Anthrax Letters instigator is = not=20 even remotely affiliated with a terrorist group such as the Al = Queda=20 network. However, as more and more of these severely socially isolated = &=20 disgruntled 'lone wolves' turn to the feedback loop of the media as a = source for=20 amplification and encouragement of their desire for social retribution, = it is=20 distinctly possible that in the immediate future America will see more = acts of=20 individual bioterrorism. While Anthrax is bad enough, Osterholm's = warnings about=20 the great danger we face from Variola=20 Haemorhagica should not = be allowed to=20 submerge unnoted and unremarked upon in the great sea of contemporary = American=20 'public-awareness' literature.

The danger posed by a = deliberately=20 staged smallpox epidemic, regrettably, is VERY real and therefore let's = all hope=20 that we never have to discover just how real, because if we=20 do.....you ain't seen = nothin'=20 yet......

(Nov=20 2001)+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

[Postscript dated 1 Jan 2003: The specific = strain of=20 anthrax used in the above described attacks has now been traced back to = the US=20 Army's own Fort Detrick Biological Research Command facility, which = while not=20 definitively pointing an accusative finger at the US Army, certainly is = a=20 vastly amusing coincidence.......]

Postscript dated 2 Mar = 2003: A former=20 US military specialist named "Red" Thomas has recently published an = article on=20 the 'overblown' free-floating anxiety that possible terrorist use of NBC = agents=20 has created among the uninformed. Thomas takes a sharp candid look at = this=20 generalised fear and makes some pithy observations on the subject. Well=20 worthwhile reading it (URL below): http://globalspecops.com/nbc.h= tml=20

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